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Red23
162211.5
853313.5
374913.7
Blue121
332811.6
448178.5
600013.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47108015023121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+68
Endgame+78
Fouls+98
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave9
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points21
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +47
2Coral scored#10
8Coral points37
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
0Processor points6
0Net points12
0Algae points18
8Total teleop55
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
4Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +98
0Foul points20
23Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3749
#35
13.72.9
20.717.8
Auto2.8
Teleop7.8
End3.1
blue by 64.8
78.50.6
70.771.3
Auto19.7
Teleop49.6
End9.2
Second
8533
#50
13.52.9
16.613.7
Auto2.4
Teleop9.0
End2.0
blue by 0.2
6000
#38
13.70.9
10.511.4
Auto5.2
Teleop5.5
End2.9
Third
1622
#32
11.51.9
13.511.7
Auto2.2
Teleop6.9
End2.4
blue by 0.1
3328
#31
11.60.9
10.911.9
Auto3.0
Teleop6.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed61%Barge oddsEarned