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Red71
80608.5
1014721.7
242940.0
Blue94
741930.6
1016612.0
325625.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions827102040601001201401607194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+9Teleop
+9Endgame
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave0
2Coral scored#5
12Coral points26
15Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +20
10Coral scored#5
36Coral points18
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
6Processor points0
8Net points12
14Algae points12
50Total teleop30
Reef
3L4#3
4L3#4
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
2Foul points34
71Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2429
#16
40.00.4
41.440.9
Auto5.6
Teleop32.3
End2.2
red by 9.5
7419
#25
30.60.7
28.427.8
Auto5.5
Teleop22.1
End3.0
Second
21.70.3
22.021.7
Auto6.2
Teleop15.1
End0.4
blue by 3.8
3256
#19
25.50.6
25.324.7
Auto6.7
Teleop17.6
End1.2
Third
8060
#47
8.50.5
10.39.8
Auto3.9
Teleop2.8
End1.8
blue by 3.5
12.00.6
12.612.0
Auto4.0
Teleop6.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsMissed