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Red141
441472.7
186813.3
732720.6
Blue68
263725.0
418317.5
570017.6
97%Model gave it3%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11556010015014168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+37Teleop
+49Endgame
+73Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave3
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points6
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +23
17Coral scored#12
62Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
76Total teleop53
Reef
8L4#6
5L3#3
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#15
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +73
26Foul points2
141Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.70.8
68.669.4
Auto15.7
Teleop48.1
End8.8
red by 47.7
2637
#24
25.00.3
25.625.9
Auto5.9
Teleop17.7
End1.4
Second
7327
#41
20.61.2
19.420.6
Auto3.6
Teleop15.2
End1.8
red by 3.0
5700
#29
17.60.3
17.317.6
Auto4.2
Teleop12.0
End1.4
Third
1868
#39
13.31.2
12.113.3
Auto6.5
Teleop4.2
End2.6
blue by 4.2
4183
#44
17.50.3
17.217.5
Auto1.7
Teleop14.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed