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Red86
741930.6
580528.7
600013.7
Blue88
388021.2
1069824.6
551417.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6669506080901008688

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+14Teleop
+16Endgame
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave3
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points15
19Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +13
11Coral scored#7
41Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
51Total teleop38
Reef
3L4#3
5L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points18
86Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7419
#25
30.62.2
27.830.0
Auto5.5
Teleop22.1
End3.0
red by 6.0
24.60.7
23.123.8
Auto4.0
Teleop14.7
End5.9
Second
5805
#49
28.71.5
23.925.4
Auto4.4
Teleop18.5
End5.8
red by 7.5
3880
#28
21.20.7
20.521.2
Auto6.3
Teleop12.8
End2.2
Third
6000
#38
13.72.2
11.413.7
Auto5.2
Teleop5.5
End2.9
blue by 4.2
5514
#12
17.90.7
19.019.7
Auto6.2
Teleop9.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsEarned