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Red59
513624.1
647923.5
853313.5
Blue26
39259.3
471111.4
80608.5
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions753102040601001205926

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+37Teleop
+39Endgame
+33Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +37
8Coral scored#2
30Coral points7
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
44Total teleop7
Reef
3L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
11Game pieces#2
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points6
59Total score26

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5136
#27
24.10.3
24.424.1
Auto3.2
Teleop18.8
End2.1
red by 12.8
4711
#37
11.41.2
12.611.4
Auto3.3
Teleop5.7
End2.3
Second
6479
#17
23.50.3
23.723.5
Auto4.9
Teleop15.5
End3.0
red by 14.1
3925
#51
9.31.3
10.69.3
Auto3.4
Teleop4.1
End1.8
Third
8533
#50
13.50.3
13.713.5
Auto2.4
Teleop9.0
End2.0
red by 4.9
8060
#47
8.51.3
9.88.5
Auto3.9
Teleop2.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsMissed