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Red163
448178.5
351235.9
65539.5
Blue56
693411.5
502646.1
12803.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12457010015016356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+89Teleop
+113Endgame
+107Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave3
4Coral scored#4
21Coral points21
30Total auto24
TeleoperatedRed +83
20Coral scored#6
73Coral points20
3Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
18Processor points0
16Net points4
34Algae points4
107Total teleop24
Reef
8L4#4
7L3#2
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#11
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +107
0Foul points6
163Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.53.9
71.375.2
Auto19.7
Teleop49.6
End9.2
red by 32.4
46.10.9
42.541.6
Auto14.0
Teleop26.7
End5.4
Second
35.95.6
29.835.3
Auto3.3
Teleop27.5
End5.0
red by 24.4
6934
#36
11.50.9
12.411.5
Auto4.4
Teleop8.2
End-1.1
Third
6553
#46
9.55.6
3.99.5
Auto2.9
Teleop4.5
End2.1
red by 6.0
1280
#52
3.50.9
4.43.5
Auto2.8
Teleop-0.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed