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Red140
908434.3
501234.6
166128.8
Blue74
332811.6
162211.5
742643.8
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103692040608012014016014074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+32Auto
+58Teleop
+58Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +32
0Leave6
9Coral scored#1
44Coral points6
44Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +26
17Coral scored#11
60Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
74Total teleop48
Reef
8L4#6
10L3#2
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#1
29Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +66
8Foul points0
140Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.63.1
33.336.4
Auto8.0
Teleop21.0
End5.6
blue by 9.2
43.80.2
44.143.9
Auto8.3
Teleop30.0
End5.5
Second
9084
#13
34.33.1
31.334.5
Auto12.2
Teleop19.9
End2.2
red by 22.7
3328
#31
11.60.2
11.911.6
Auto3.0
Teleop6.0
End2.7
Third
1661
#20
28.82.2
26.728.9
Auto8.4
Teleop17.3
End3.1
red by 17.3
1622
#32
11.50.2
11.711.5
Auto2.2
Teleop6.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned61%Barge oddsEarned