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Red33
407936.7
416013.5
374913.7
Blue99
97155.0
977212.7
732323.1
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6987204060801001201401603399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+60
Endgame+70
Fouls+66
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +53
3Coral scored#13
12Coral points47
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
0Processor points6
4Net points16
4Algae points22
16Total teleop69
Reef
2L4#7
1L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +66
4Foul points0
33Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4079
#22
36.72.9
34.431.5
Auto11.4
Teleop23.6
End1.7
blue by 18.4
971
#9
55.01.4
46.748.1
Auto7.3
Teleop40.7
End7.0
Second
3749
#35
13.74.2
17.813.7
Auto2.8
Teleop7.8
End3.1
blue by 9.4
7323
#33
23.11.4
21.723.1
Auto3.7
Teleop15.7
End3.8
Third
4160
#48
13.54.2
17.613.5
Auto2.4
Teleop9.6
End1.4
red by 0.7
9772
#11
12.71.0
13.214.1
Auto3.9
Teleop7.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsEarned