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Red69
412335.1
606012.0
58927.3
Blue119
113839.4
421.2
386354.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58128010015020069119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+42
Endgame+50
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave0
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points15
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +36
8Coral scored#16
30Coral points56
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
44Total teleop80
Reef
4L4#8
2L3#5
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points0
69Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4123
#21
35.10.9
33.634.5
Auto8.5
Teleop25.4
End1.2
blue by 19.3
54.40.7
50.351.1
Auto8.6
Teleop36.8
End9.0
Second
589
#26
27.30.9
19.520.4
Auto6.1
Teleop13.1
End8.1
blue by 12.0
1138
#15
39.41.0
37.538.6
Auto5.0
Teleop28.3
End6.1
Third
6060
#40
12.00.9
6.67.5
Auto3.5
Teleop6.5
End1.9
blue by 9.2
4
#18
21.20.7
20.521.2
Auto2.7
Teleop16.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned76%Barge oddsEarned