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Red80
1069824.6
325625.5
113839.4
Blue56
551417.9
977212.7
501234.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95680204060801201401608056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+36Teleop
+32Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave6
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points9
16Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +35
13Coral scored#5
48Coral points19
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
62Total teleop27
Reef
4L4#2
5L3#2
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points8
80Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1138
#15
39.40.3
39.339.0
Auto5.0
Teleop28.3
End6.1
red by 4.8
34.60.6
35.134.6
Auto8.0
Teleop21.0
End5.6
Second
3256
#19
25.50.3
25.425.1
Auto6.7
Teleop17.6
End1.2
red by 7.6
5514
#12
17.90.6
18.517.9
Auto6.2
Teleop9.4
End2.2
Third
24.60.3
24.524.2
Auto4.0
Teleop14.7
End5.9
red by 11.9
9772
#11
12.70.4
13.212.7
Auto3.9
Teleop7.1
End1.7