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Red205
441472.7
448178.5
580528.7
Blue156
97155.0
407936.7
58927.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1909350150250205156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+35Teleop
+47Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
9Leave6
7Coral scored#4
35Coral points20
44Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +17
19Coral scored#23
67Coral points84
5Processor algae#2
6Net algae#2
30Processor points12
24Net points8
54Algae points20
121Total teleop104
Reef
12L4#7
6L3#10
6L2#5
2L1 · trough#5
37Game pieces#31
BargeRed +12
36Cage & park24
36Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +49
4Foul points2
205Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.50.6
77.077.6
Auto19.7
Teleop49.6
End9.2
red by 23.4
971
#9
55.01.5
49.651.1
Auto7.3
Teleop40.7
End7.0
Second
72.70.6
71.271.8
Auto15.7
Teleop48.1
End8.8
red by 36.0
4079
#22
36.71.1
32.633.7
Auto11.4
Teleop23.6
End1.7
Third
5805
#49
28.70.6
27.227.8
Auto4.4
Teleop18.5
End5.8
red by 1.4
589
#26
27.31.5
21.923.4
Auto6.1
Teleop13.1
End8.1