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Red85
742643.8
908434.3
166128.8
Blue44
551417.9
977212.7
501234.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12071501001508544

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+27Teleop
+25Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
6Leave0
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points9
33Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +3
6Coral scored#5
20Coral points19
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
30Total teleop27
Reef
3L4#2
4L3#3
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +41
18Foul points2
85Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.81.2
43.942.7
Auto8.3
Teleop30.0
End5.5
red by 9.2
34.60.8
36.435.6
Auto8.0
Teleop21.0
End5.6
Second
9084
#13
34.31.2
34.533.3
Auto12.2
Teleop19.9
End2.2
red by 16.5
5514
#12
17.90.8
19.718.9
Auto6.2
Teleop9.4
End2.2
Third
1661
#20
28.80.9
28.928.0
Auto8.4
Teleop17.3
End3.1
red by 16.0
9772
#11
12.70.6
14.113.5
Auto3.9
Teleop7.1
End1.7