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Red114
502646.1
606012.0
386354.4
Blue120
97155.0
407936.7
58927.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105103406080120140160180114120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+14
Endgame+2
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave3
5Coral scored#7
23Coral points37
29Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +3
13Coral scored#14
45Coral points50
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
6Processor points0
8Net points12
14Algae points12
59Total teleop62
Reef
8L4#9
3L3#4
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#24
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points4
114Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.40.3
51.151.4
Auto8.6
Teleop36.8
End9.0
blue by 0.7
971
#9
55.00.5
48.148.6
Auto7.3
Teleop40.7
End7.0
Second
46.10.4
41.642.0
Auto14.0
Teleop26.7
End5.4
red by 9.4
4079
#22
36.70.4
31.531.8
Auto11.4
Teleop23.6
End1.7
Third
6060
#40
12.00.4
7.57.9
Auto3.5
Teleop6.5
End1.9
blue by 15.4
589
#26
27.30.5
20.420.9
Auto6.1
Teleop13.1
End8.1