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Red107
1069824.6
325625.5
113839.4
Blue98
412335.1
741930.6
351235.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9011140608010012014016018020010798

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+3
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +7
13Coral scored#12
45Coral points42
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#6
12Processor points18
20Net points24
32Algae points42
77Total teleop84
Reef
6L4#5
3L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#22
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
107Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1138
#15
39.40.6
38.639.2
Auto5.0
Teleop28.3
End6.1
red by 3.5
35.90.1
35.335.3
Auto3.3
Teleop27.5
End5.0
Second
3256
#19
25.50.6
24.725.3
Auto6.7
Teleop17.6
End1.2
blue by 9.6
4123
#21
35.10.1
34.534.4
Auto8.5
Teleop25.4
End1.2
Third
24.60.6
23.824.4
Auto4.0
Teleop14.7
End5.9
blue by 6.0
7419
#25
30.60.1
30.029.9
Auto5.5
Teleop22.1
End3.0