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Red160
502646.1
606012.0
386354.4
Blue141
412335.1
741930.6
351235.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10911090100120130140150160160141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+29Auto
+27Teleop
+39Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +29
6Leave9
7Coral scored#1
36Coral points4
42Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +2
14Coral scored#19
52Coral points70
5Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
30Processor points18
20Net points16
50Algae points34
102Total teleop104
Reef
10L4#8
4L3#6
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#27
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points20
160Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.41.3
51.452.7
Auto8.6
Teleop36.8
End9.0
red by 18.5
35.90.6
35.335.9
Auto3.3
Teleop27.5
End5.0
Second
46.11.7
42.043.8
Auto14.0
Teleop26.7
End5.4
red by 11.0
4123
#21
35.10.6
34.435.1
Auto8.5
Teleop25.4
End1.2
Third
6060
#40
12.01.7
7.99.7
Auto3.5
Teleop6.5
End1.9
blue by 18.6
7419
#25
30.60.6
29.930.6
Auto5.5
Teleop22.1
End3.0