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Red284
940871.8
60488.8
58187.0
Blue269
25493.8
291099.9
97250.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions255262100200300400500284269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+1
+9Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
12Coral scored#14
62Coral points69
62Total auto69
TeleoperatedRed +6
29Coral scored#41
106Coral points146
7Processor algae#2
8Net algae#4
42Processor points12
32Net points16
74Algae points28
180Total teleop174
Reef
17L4#22
7L3#13
12L2#12
5L1 · trough#8
56Game pieces#61
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +15
6Foul points0
284Total score269

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#7
88.80.7
88.088.8
Auto23.4
Teleop55.6
End9.8
blue by 11.1
99.90.6
99.399.9
Auto27.8
Teleop61.9
End10.2
Second
581
#14
87.00.7
86.387.0
Auto20.4
Teleop56.8
End9.8
blue by 6.8
254
#1
93.80.6
93.293.8
Auto22.9
Teleop61.9
End9.0
Third
9408
#17
71.80.7
71.071.8
Auto10.1
Teleop53.7
End8.0
red by 21.1
972
#35
50.70.6
50.150.7
Auto11.1
Teleop31.5
End8.1