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Red259
940871.8
60488.8
58187.0
Blue242
25493.8
291099.9
97250.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2542630100200300400500259242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
+19Teleop
+19Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousBlue +25
6Leave6
9Coral scored#14
46Coral points71
52Total auto77
TeleoperatedRed +44
28Coral scored#21
99Coral points77
9Processor algae#4
7Net algae#9
54Processor points24
28Net points36
82Algae points60
181Total teleop137
Reef
13L4#15
8L3#9
8L2#5
8L1 · trough#6
53Game pieces#48
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points2
259Total score242

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#7
88.80.3
87.788.0
Auto23.4
Teleop55.6
End9.8
blue by 11.1
99.90.1
99.499.3
Auto27.8
Teleop61.9
End10.2
Second
581
#14
87.00.3
85.986.3
Auto20.4
Teleop56.8
End9.8
blue by 6.8
254
#1
93.80.1
93.393.2
Auto22.9
Teleop61.9
End9.0
Third
9408
#17
71.80.3
70.771.0
Auto10.1
Teleop53.7
End8.0
red by 21.1
972
#35
50.70.1
50.250.1
Auto11.1
Teleop31.5
End8.1