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Red236
949677.0
291099.9
347868.0
Blue224
908465.9
623846.5
441493.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293210100150250350236224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+24Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
3Leave9
12Coral scored#9
60Coral points45
63Total auto54
TeleoperatedRed +15
29Coral scored#28
103Coral points102
4Processor algae#3
8Net algae#6
24Processor points18
32Net points24
56Algae points42
159Total teleop144
Reef
19L4#10
8L3#12
6L2#9
8L1 · trough#6
53Game pieces#46
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
236Total score224

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
99.92.7
114.7112.0
Auto27.8
Teleop61.9
End10.2
red by 6.1
4414
#12
93.81.2
94.895.9
Auto19.5
Teleop64.5
End9.8
Second
9496
#20
77.02.7
78.475.7
Auto18.3
Teleop51.6
End7.1
red by 11.1
9084
#18
65.91.2
65.266.4
Auto17.8
Teleop40.5
End7.5
Third
3478
#22
68.02.7
80.077.4
Auto17.6
Teleop44.5
End6.0
red by 21.6
6238
#23
46.51.2
44.145.2
Auto9.3
Teleop29.5
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned100%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
99%Coral oddsEarned76%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned