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Red204
291099.9
603657.0
58187.0
Blue129
167153.0
623846.5
502652.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28517650100150200250350204129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+65Teleop
+75Endgame
+75Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave0
11Coral scored#7
55Coral points37
55Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +47
16Coral scored#12
59Coral points44
6Processor algae#4
7Net algae#2
36Processor points24
28Net points8
64Algae points32
123Total teleop76
Reef
12L4#6
4L3#6
7L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
40Game pieces#25
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +75
0Foul points0
204Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2910
#2Sur
99.94.7
110.8106.1
Auto27.8
Teleop61.9
End10.2
red by 46.9
1671
#19Sur
53.03.8
65.261.4
Auto14.4
Teleop34.6
End4.0
Second
581
#14
87.04.7
85.981.2
Auto20.4
Teleop56.8
End9.8
red by 34.7
5026
#33
52.33.8
64.460.6
Auto15.7
Teleop31.4
End5.3
Third
6036
#34
57.04.7
66.261.5
Auto13.2
Teleop40.0
End3.8
red by 10.6
6238
#23
46.53.8
45.641.8
Auto9.3
Teleop29.5
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
99%Coral oddsEarned41%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned