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Red199
449980.6
944269.5
204661.2
Blue208
97250.7
940871.8
550759.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25317350100150200300199208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+35
Teleop+7
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +35
0Leave6
2Coral scored#8
9Coral points38
9Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +28
34Coral scored#32
124Coral points114
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
18Processor points12
24Net points12
42Algae points24
166Total teleop138
Reef
12L4#10
11L3#15
9L2#7
4L1 · trough#8
45Game pieces#45
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
199Total score208

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4499
#5Sur
80.62.2
83.581.3
Auto15.3
Teleop53.7
End11.5
red by 8.8
9408
#17
71.82.6
65.367.9
Auto10.1
Teleop53.7
End8.0
Second
69.52.2
72.169.9
Auto9.4
Teleop60.0
End0.2
red by 10.3
5507
#21
59.22.6
50.753.2
Auto17.9
Teleop31.2
End10.1
Third
2046
#41
61.22.2
76.674.4
Auto12.6
Teleop43.0
End5.6
red by 10.5
972
#35Sur
50.72.6
53.456.0
Auto11.1
Teleop31.5
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsMissed98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
86%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned