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Red216
97359.8
84662.4
908465.9
Blue208
350153.4
541951.1
281362.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions205165050100150250300216208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+8Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave6
10Coral scored#10
50Coral points48
50Total auto54
TeleoperatedRed +12
30Coral scored#19
108Coral points70
2Processor algae#5
5Net algae#7
12Processor points30
20Net points28
32Algae points58
140Total teleop128
Reef
10L4#9
14L3#12
11L2#6
5L1 · trough#2
47Game pieces#41
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
216Total score208

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9084
#18
65.91.6
66.167.7
Auto17.8
Teleop40.5
End7.5
red by 3.9
2813
#26
62.02.9
55.258.1
Auto8.4
Teleop45.2
End8.4
Second
846
#29
62.41.6
60.261.8
Auto15.0
Teleop41.4
End5.9
red by 8.9
3501
#31
53.42.9
52.955.8
Auto14.5
Teleop35.8
End3.1
Third
973
#39
59.81.6
66.367.8
Auto12.1
Teleop38.8
End9.0
red by 8.7
5419
#40
51.12.9
56.859.6
Auto10.3
Teleop33.3
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
51%Coral oddsMissed57%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsMissed