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Red223
594084.1
207357.3
167886.8
Blue249
60488.8
304568.4
119778.0
59%Model gave it41%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions258239050100150200300350400223249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+4
Endgame+14
Fouls+26
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave0
11Coral scored#10
56Coral points51
65Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +18
27Coral scored#34
98Coral points124
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#2
18Processor points18
16Net points8
34Algae points26
132Total teleop150
Reef
12L4#17
15L3#12
6L2#6
5L1 · trough#9
45Game pieces#49
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points12
223Total score249

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86.81.0
93.492.4
Auto24.2
Teleop54.1
End8.5
blue by 2.0
604
#7
88.80.3
86.086.3
Auto23.4
Teleop55.6
End9.8
Second
5940
#11
84.11.0
86.785.7
Auto23.3
Teleop52.1
End8.7
red by 6.1
1197
#30
78.00.3
82.282.4
Auto21.5
Teleop48.1
End8.4
Third
2073
#36
57.31.0
58.257.2
Auto12.4
Teleop37.7
End7.2
blue by 11.1
3045
#10
68.40.3
64.664.9
Auto13.8
Teleop44.0
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
99%Coral oddsMissed94%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned