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Red197
949677.0
69493.5
715743.4
Blue245
29468.0
427079.4
366378.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions234238100150200250300350197245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+38
Endgame+48
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +25
0Leave0
5Coral scored#10
26Coral points51
26Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +13
30Coral scored#32
107Coral points114
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#8
18Processor points12
20Net points32
38Algae points44
145Total teleop158
Reef
11L4#11
15L3#15
6L2#11
3L1 · trough#5
43Game pieces#52
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
0Foul points0
197Total score245

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#3
93.51.4
99.197.7
Auto21.7
Teleop60.6
End11.2
red by 14.1
4270
#24
79.41.7
75.777.4
Auto15.9
Teleop54.7
End8.8
Second
9496
#20
77.01.4
76.174.7
Auto18.3
Teleop51.6
End7.1
blue by 2.0
78.91.7
81.182.8
Auto15.4
Teleop52.6
End10.9
Third
7157
#27
43.41.4
43.041.6
Auto8.5
Teleop29.6
End5.4
blue by 24.6
294
#15
68.01.7
63.064.7
Auto14.9
Teleop47.1
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
98%Coral oddsEarned92%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned