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Red197
441493.8
84160.1
97250.7
Blue231
25493.8
350153.4
347868.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions207228050100150250300350400197231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+18
Endgame+16
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +9
6Leave3
8Coral scored#11
41Coral points53
47Total auto56
TeleoperatedBlue +9
21Coral scored#32
74Coral points115
5Processor algae#3
8Net algae#3
30Processor points18
32Net points12
62Algae points30
136Total teleop145
Reef
8L4#13
10L3#17
7L2#6
4L1 · trough#7
42Game pieces#49
BargeRed +2
14Cage & park12
14Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points18
197Total score231

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4414
#12
93.80.9
94.994.1
Auto19.5
Teleop64.5
End9.8
Level
254
#1
93.80.9
91.590.5
Auto22.9
Teleop61.9
End9.0
Second
841
#13
60.10.9
53.652.8
Auto12.1
Teleop39.8
End8.2
blue by 7.9
3478
#22
68.00.9
73.973.0
Auto17.6
Teleop44.5
End6.0
Third
972
#35
50.70.9
56.055.2
Auto11.1
Teleop31.5
End8.1
blue by 2.7
3501
#31
53.40.9
55.854.8
Auto14.5
Teleop35.8
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
83%Coral oddsEarned84%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned