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Red240
97173.8
550759.2
69493.5
Blue183
804837.9
25493.8
623846.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24618550100150200300350240183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+35Teleop
+55Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
9Leave9
9Coral scored#6
46Coral points28
55Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +17
28Coral scored#25
101Coral points90
3Processor algae#2
7Net algae#7
18Processor points12
28Net points28
46Algae points40
147Total teleop130
Reef
13L4#15
10L3#8
8L2#4
6L1 · trough#4
47Game pieces#40
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +57
2Foul points0
240Total score183

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#3
93.50.6
97.798.4
Auto21.7
Teleop60.6
End11.2
blue by 0.3
254
#1
93.80.2
90.590.8
Auto22.9
Teleop61.9
End9.0
Second
971
#32
73.80.6
74.475.1
Auto15.1
Teleop50.6
End8.1
red by 27.4
6238
#23
46.50.2
41.842.0
Auto9.3
Teleop29.5
End7.7
Third
5507
#21
59.20.6
53.253.9
Auto17.9
Teleop31.2
End10.1
red by 21.3
8048
#38
37.90.2
44.444.6
Auto6.5
Teleop29.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
91%Coral oddsEarned60%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
100%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned