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Red189
167886.8
879342.7
945077.5
Blue167
603657.0
441493.8
803361.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions230232180200220240189167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+12Teleop
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
9Coral scored#9
44Coral points44
50Total auto50
TeleoperatedRed +12
21Coral scored#15
77Coral points53
2Processor algae#4
6Net algae#6
12Processor points24
24Net points24
36Algae points48
113Total teleop101
Reef
13L4#6
9L3#7
3L2#8
5L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#34
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points0
189Total score167

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86.81.4
92.491.0
Auto24.2
Teleop54.1
End8.5
blue by 7.0
4414
#12
93.83.6
94.190.5
Auto19.5
Teleop64.5
End9.8
Second
77.51.4
80.178.8
Auto17.6
Teleop48.4
End11.5
red by 16.6
8033
#37
61.03.6
65.561.9
Auto16.2
Teleop36.8
End8.0
Third
8793
#28
42.71.4
36.935.6
Auto10.6
Teleop25.8
End6.2
blue by 14.4
6036
#34
57.03.6
61.557.9
Auto13.2
Teleop40.0
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
77%Coral oddsMissed96%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsMissed