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Red189
502652.3
366378.9
291099.9
Blue226
944269.5
347868.0
167886.8
65%Model gave it35%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions266241100150200300350189226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+33
Endgame+31
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave3
8Coral scored#10
41Coral points48
50Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +32
23Coral scored#31
83Coral points113
2Processor algae#3
7Net algae#6
12Processor points18
28Net points24
40Algae points42
123Total teleop155
Reef
9L4#15
12L3#12
5L2#8
5L1 · trough#6
40Game pieces#50
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points6
189Total score226

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
99.93.9
107.2103.2
Auto27.8
Teleop61.9
End10.2
red by 13.1
86.81.0
91.090.0
Auto24.2
Teleop54.1
End8.5
Second
78.93.9
81.277.2
Auto15.4
Teleop52.6
End10.9
red by 9.4
69.51.0
71.070.0
Auto9.4
Teleop60.0
End0.2
Third
5026
#33
52.33.9
59.955.9
Auto15.7
Teleop31.4
End5.3
blue by 15.7
3478
#22
68.01.0
73.072.0
Auto17.6
Teleop44.5
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
98%Coral oddsEarned78%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned