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Red144
97250.7
945077.5
304568.4
Blue229
97359.8
473874.5
69493.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220265150200250300350144229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+75
Endgame+85
Fouls+85
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave0
6Coral scored#9
30Coral points44
33Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +64
13Coral scored#30
47Coral points107
3Processor algae#3
5Net algae#6
18Processor points18
20Net points24
38Algae points42
85Total teleop149
Reef
6L4#15
6L3#9
4L2#10
3L1 · trough#5
27Game pieces#48
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +85
0Foul points0
144Total score229

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.54.9
88.283.3
Auto17.6
Teleop48.4
End11.5
blue by 16.0
694
#3
93.51.4
100.799.3
Auto21.7
Teleop60.6
End11.2
Second
3045
#10
68.44.9
70.765.9
Auto13.8
Teleop44.0
End10.6
blue by 6.1
4738
#16
74.51.4
74.573.2
Auto19.9
Teleop44.3
End10.3
Third
972
#35
50.74.9
58.553.6
Auto11.1
Teleop31.5
End8.1
blue by 9.1
973
#39
59.81.4
74.573.2
Auto12.1
Teleop38.8
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
71%Coral oddsMissed98%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned