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Red251
97173.8
281362.0
441493.8
Blue256
58187.0
69493.5
944269.5
23%Model gave it77%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions221261100150200300350251256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
Teleop+15
Endgame+5
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +2
6Leave6
10Coral scored#10
51Coral points49
57Total auto55
TeleoperatedBlue +17
29Coral scored#33
104Coral points117
3Processor algae#3
9Net algae#10
18Processor points18
36Net points40
54Algae points58
158Total teleop175
Reef
10L4#18
11L3#11
10L2#9
8L1 · trough#5
51Game pieces#56
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points0
251Total score256

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4414
#12
93.82.4
90.693.0
Auto19.5
Teleop64.5
End9.8
red by 0.3
694
#3
93.50.6
95.796.2
Auto21.7
Teleop60.6
End11.2
Second
971
#32
73.82.4
70.572.9
Auto15.1
Teleop50.6
End8.1
blue by 13.2
581
#14
87.00.6
81.381.8
Auto20.4
Teleop56.8
End9.8
Third
2813
#26
62.02.4
54.156.5
Auto8.4
Teleop45.2
End8.4
blue by 7.5
69.50.6
70.871.3
Auto9.4
Teleop60.0
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
84%Coral oddsEarned98%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned