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Red122
715743.4
804837.9
84662.4
Blue206
60488.8
945077.5
207357.3
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126243050100150200300350122206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+38
Teleop+72
Endgame+84
Fouls+84
AutonomousBlue +38
0Leave6
4Coral scored#10
20Coral points52
20Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +34
16Coral scored#27
56Coral points96
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#5
12Processor points6
20Net points20
32Algae points26
88Total teleop122
Reef
4L4#9
9L3#14
5L2#7
2L1 · trough#7
27Game pieces#43
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +84
0Foul points0
122Total score206

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#29
62.41.2
59.658.4
Auto15.0
Teleop41.4
End5.9
blue by 26.4
604
#7
88.81.1
84.583.4
Auto23.4
Teleop55.6
End9.8
Second
7157
#27
43.41.2
41.840.6
Auto8.5
Teleop29.6
End5.4
blue by 34.1
77.51.1
80.179.1
Auto17.6
Teleop48.4
End11.5
Third
8048
#38
37.91.2
38.637.4
Auto6.5
Teleop29.5
End1.8
blue by 19.4
2073
#36
57.31.1
57.256.2
Auto12.4
Teleop37.7
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed69%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
65%Barge oddsMissed94%Barge oddsMissed