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Red252
25493.8
29468.0
449980.6
Blue223
427079.4
879342.7
940871.8
93%Model gave it7%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26218350100150200300350252223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+26Auto
+33Teleop
+29Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +26
9Leave0
11Coral scored#7
54Coral points37
63Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +7
33Coral scored#31
117Coral points112
3Processor algae#4
7Net algae#5
18Processor points24
28Net points20
46Algae points44
163Total teleop156
Reef
14L4#12
11L3#10
11L2#10
8L1 · trough#6
54Game pieces#47
BargeBlue +4
26Cage & park30
26Total endgame30
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points0
252Total score223

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
93.80.9
91.392.1
Auto22.9
Teleop61.9
End9.0
red by 14.4
4270
#24
79.43.1
76.379.4
Auto15.9
Teleop54.7
End8.8
Second
80.60.9
80.281.1
Auto15.3
Teleop53.7
End11.5
red by 8.8
9408
#17
71.83.1
63.466.5
Auto10.1
Teleop53.7
End8.0
Third
294
#15
68.00.9
67.768.5
Auto14.9
Teleop47.1
End6.1
red by 25.4
8793
#28
42.73.1
36.339.4
Auto10.6
Teleop25.8
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
87%Coral oddsEarned43%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsEarned