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Red181
281362.0
603657.0
623846.5
Blue220
594084.1
804837.9
449980.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15722350100200250300181220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+27
Endgame+39
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +24
3Leave6
5Coral scored#9
24Coral points45
27Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +3
24Coral scored#31
86Coral points111
5Processor algae#2
6Net algae#5
30Processor points12
24Net points20
54Algae points32
140Total teleop143
Reef
11L4#11
6L3#14
7L2#11
5L1 · trough#4
40Game pieces#47
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points0
181Total score220

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2813
#26
62.01.5
56.557.9
Auto8.4
Teleop45.2
End8.4
blue by 22.2
5940
#11
84.10.8
84.985.8
Auto23.3
Teleop52.1
End8.7
Second
6036
#34
57.01.5
57.158.5
Auto13.2
Teleop40.0
End3.8
blue by 23.5
80.60.8
82.583.3
Auto15.3
Teleop53.7
End11.5
Third
6238
#23
46.51.5
42.443.9
Auto9.3
Teleop29.5
End7.7
red by 8.6
8048
#38
37.90.8
37.438.2
Auto6.5
Teleop29.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
57%Coral oddsEarned88%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsEarned