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Red201
473874.5
119778.0
803361.0
Blue230
69493.5
945077.5
502652.3
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22224250100150200300350201230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+19
Endgame+29
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave6
10Coral scored#11
49Coral points55
58Total auto61
TeleoperatedBlue +16
23Coral scored#28
81Coral points99
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#7
12Processor points6
24Net points28
36Algae points34
117Total teleop133
Reef
14L4#16
7L3#10
8L2#7
4L1 · trough#6
41Game pieces#47
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points0
201Total score230

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1197
#30
78.00.7
77.676.9
Auto21.5
Teleop48.1
End8.4
blue by 15.5
694
#3
93.50.2
95.095.2
Auto21.7
Teleop60.6
End11.2
Second
4738
#16
74.50.7
72.972.3
Auto19.9
Teleop44.3
End10.3
blue by 3.0
77.50.2
80.580.7
Auto17.6
Teleop48.4
End11.5
Third
8033
#37
61.00.7
60.659.9
Auto16.2
Teleop36.8
End8.0
red by 8.6
5026
#33
52.30.2
51.051.2
Auto15.7
Teleop31.4
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
70%Coral oddsMissed92%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned