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Red222
944269.5
60488.8
879342.7
Blue209
84160.1
97359.8
949677.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions210200100150250222209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+15Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
8Coral scored#7
41Coral points37
47Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +8
28Coral scored#26
99Coral points95
4Processor algae#4
7Net algae#6
24Processor points24
28Net points24
52Algae points48
151Total teleop143
Reef
10L4#14
12L3#7
7L2#5
7L1 · trough#7
47Game pieces#43
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
222Total score209

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#7
88.81.9
83.184.9
Auto23.4
Teleop55.6
End9.8
red by 11.8
9496
#20
77.01.3
73.274.4
Auto18.3
Teleop51.6
End7.1
Second
69.51.9
70.472.2
Auto9.4
Teleop60.0
End0.2
red by 9.4
841
#13
60.11.3
59.560.8
Auto12.1
Teleop39.8
End8.2
Third
8793
#28
42.71.9
40.842.6
Auto10.6
Teleop25.8
End6.2
blue by 17.2
973
#39
59.81.3
57.158.4
Auto12.1
Teleop38.8
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
54%Coral oddsEarned82%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsEarned