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Red232
25493.8
167886.8
167153.0
Blue159
804837.9
204661.2
908465.9
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26716850100150200250300350232159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+73Teleop
+73Endgame
+73Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
6Leave3
10Coral scored#8
51Coral points41
57Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +60
31Coral scored#21
113Coral points75
3Processor algae#2
7Net algae#3
18Processor points12
28Net points12
46Algae points24
159Total teleop99
Reef
18L4#9
8L3#6
9L2#6
6L1 · trough#8
51Game pieces#34
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +73
0Foul points0
232Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
93.80.5
93.693.0
Auto22.9
Teleop61.9
End9.0
red by 28.0
9084
#18
65.90.5
69.168.6
Auto17.8
Teleop40.5
End7.5
Second
86.80.5
90.289.7
Auto24.2
Teleop54.1
End8.5
red by 25.6
2046
#41
61.20.5
58.958.4
Auto12.6
Teleop43.0
End5.6
Third
1671
#19
53.00.5
56.255.7
Auto14.4
Teleop34.6
End4.0
red by 15.1
8048
#38
37.90.5
38.237.7
Auto6.5
Teleop29.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
98%Coral oddsEarned50%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsMissed