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Red222
347868.0
427079.4
304568.4
Blue236
58187.0
281362.0
550759.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions221199100150250300222236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+14
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave3
8Coral scored#10
42Coral points52
51Total auto55
TeleoperatedBlue +10
25Coral scored#31
89Coral points113
4Processor algae#3
8Net algae#6
24Processor points18
32Net points24
56Algae points42
145Total teleop155
Reef
12L4#17
12L3#12
6L2#8
3L1 · trough#4
45Game pieces#50
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
222Total score236

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4270
#24
79.40.7
78.979.7
Auto15.9
Teleop54.7
End8.8
blue by 7.6
581
#14
87.02.9
79.882.7
Auto20.4
Teleop56.8
End9.8
Second
3045
#10
68.40.7
66.667.3
Auto13.8
Teleop44.0
End10.6
red by 6.4
2813
#26
62.02.9
57.960.9
Auto8.4
Teleop45.2
End8.4
Third
3478
#22
68.00.7
65.366.1
Auto17.6
Teleop44.5
End6.0
red by 8.8
5507
#21
59.22.9
54.457.3
Auto17.9
Teleop31.2
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
89%Coral oddsEarned79%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned