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Red208
441493.8
207357.3
350153.4
Blue231
97173.8
715743.4
366378.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions214198140160180220240260208231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+29
Endgame+19
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave6
8Coral scored#10
38Coral points52
47Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +18
26Coral scored#24
95Coral points87
3Processor algae#4
5Net algae#10
18Processor points24
20Net points40
38Algae points64
133Total teleop151
Reef
14L4#12
8L3#11
6L2#7
6L1 · trough#4
42Game pieces#48
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
2Foul points6
208Total score231

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4414
#12
93.80.3
93.794.1
Auto19.5
Teleop64.5
End9.8
red by 14.9
78.92.6
76.679.2
Auto15.4
Teleop52.6
End10.9
Second
2073
#36
57.30.3
55.856.2
Auto12.4
Teleop37.7
End7.2
blue by 16.5
971
#32
73.82.6
70.072.5
Auto15.1
Teleop50.6
End8.1
Third
3501
#31
53.40.3
51.351.7
Auto14.5
Teleop35.8
End3.1
red by 10.0
7157
#27
43.42.6
40.042.6
Auto8.5
Teleop29.6
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
71%Coral oddsEarned41%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned