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Red206
594084.1
29468.0
84160.1
Blue172
97250.7
427079.4
804837.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23016950100150200250300206172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+24Teleop
+34Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave3
7Coral scored#6
35Coral points30
44Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +13
22Coral scored#23
78Coral points83
4Processor algae#3
8Net algae#5
24Processor points18
32Net points20
56Algae points38
134Total teleop121
Reef
16L4#11
5L3#9
4L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
41Game pieces#37
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
2Foul points2
206Total score172

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5940
#11
84.10.6
85.885.2
Auto23.3
Teleop52.1
End8.7
red by 4.8
4270
#24
79.40.1
79.779.8
Auto15.9
Teleop54.7
End8.8
Second
294
#15
68.00.6
66.565.9
Auto14.9
Teleop47.1
End6.1
red by 17.3
972
#35
50.70.1
50.750.8
Auto11.1
Teleop31.5
End8.1
Third
841
#13
60.10.6
60.860.1
Auto12.1
Teleop39.8
End8.2
red by 22.3
8048
#38
37.90.1
37.737.9
Auto6.5
Teleop29.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
88%Coral oddsEarned58%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsMissed