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Red185
502652.3
207357.3
281362.0
Blue193
167153.0
441493.8
879342.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17321150100150250300185193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+18
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave6
6Coral scored#7
30Coral points37
36Total auto43
TeleoperatedBlue +11
25Coral scored#19
91Coral points68
2Processor algae#5
5Net algae#9
12Processor points30
20Net points36
32Algae points66
123Total teleop134
Reef
12L4#11
7L3#6
5L2#6
7L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#40
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
185Total score193

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2813
#26
62.01.1
60.962.0
Auto8.4
Teleop45.2
End8.4
blue by 31.8
4414
#12
93.80.0
94.194.1
Auto19.5
Teleop64.5
End9.8
Second
2073
#36
57.31.1
56.257.3
Auto12.4
Teleop37.7
End7.2
red by 4.3
1671
#19
53.00.0
55.755.7
Auto14.4
Teleop34.6
End4.0
Third
5026
#33
52.31.1
51.252.3
Auto15.7
Teleop31.4
End5.3
red by 9.7
8793
#28
42.70.0
42.642.7
Auto10.6
Teleop25.8
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
40%Coral oddsEarned78%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
85%Barge oddsMissed79%Barge oddsEarned