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Red174
859270.6
190845.9
83659.1
Blue203
42292.2
44963.8
859046.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions181212100150200250300174203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+15
Endgame+17
Fouls+29
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave3
12Coral scored#10
58Coral points49
58Total auto52
TeleoperatedBlue +21
18Coral scored#28
66Coral points99
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
12Processor points12
24Net points12
36Algae points24
102Total teleop123
Reef
15L4#17
6L3#11
4L2#6
5L1 · trough#4
38Game pieces#43
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points12
174Total score203

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.60.0
70.670.6
Auto14.9
Teleop47.7
End7.9
blue by 21.6
422
#1
92.20.3
92.492.2
Auto21.1
Teleop59.3
End11.7
Second
836
#14
59.10.0
59.259.1
Auto13.6
Teleop39.3
End6.2
blue by 4.7
449
#4
63.80.3
64.163.8
Auto12.8
Teleop47.0
End4.1
Third
1908
#23
45.90.0
46.045.9
Auto9.9
Teleop29.3
End6.7
blue by 0.3
8590
#47
46.20.3
46.546.2
Auto9.6
Teleop34.6
End2.0