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Red198
859270.6
190845.9
83659.1
Blue220
42292.2
44963.8
859046.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions180211100150200250300198220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+12
Endgame+22
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +8
9Leave0
8Coral scored#12
42Coral points59
51Total auto59
TeleoperatedBlue +4
18Coral scored#24
65Coral points85
5Processor algae#5
9Net algae#5
30Processor points30
36Net points20
66Algae points50
131Total teleop135
Reef
9L4#12
6L3#12
6L2#9
5L1 · trough#3
40Game pieces#46
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points0
198Total score220

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.60.5
70.170.6
Auto14.9
Teleop47.7
End7.9
blue by 21.6
422
#1
92.20.4
92.092.4
Auto21.1
Teleop59.3
End11.7
Second
836
#14
59.10.5
58.659.2
Auto13.6
Teleop39.3
End6.2
blue by 4.7
449
#4
63.80.4
63.764.1
Auto12.8
Teleop47.0
End4.1
Third
1908
#23
45.90.5
45.446.0
Auto9.9
Teleop29.3
End6.7
blue by 0.3
8590
#47
46.20.4
46.146.5
Auto9.6
Teleop34.6
End2.0