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Red214
42292.2
44963.8
859046.2
Blue208
162963.1
11650.3
88860.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions210180150200250300214208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
Teleop+4
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
0Leave3
11Coral scored#9
55Coral points44
55Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +12
22Coral scored#28
79Coral points101
4Processor algae#3
8Net algae#7
24Processor points18
32Net points28
56Algae points46
135Total teleop147
Reef
9L4#12
12L3#10
9L2#11
3L1 · trough#4
45Game pieces#47
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
214Total score208

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#1
92.20.3
91.792.0
Auto21.1
Teleop59.3
End11.7
red by 29.1
1629
#13
63.10.8
62.363.1
Auto20.0
Teleop40.6
End2.5
Second
449
#4
63.80.3
63.463.7
Auto12.8
Teleop47.0
End4.1
red by 3.2
888
#15
60.60.8
59.860.6
Auto17.5
Teleop40.5
End2.6
Third
8590
#47
46.20.3
45.846.1
Auto9.6
Teleop34.6
End2.0
blue by 4.1
116
#12
50.30.8
49.550.3
Auto6.1
Teleop35.9
End8.3