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Red210
162963.1
11650.3
88860.6
Blue203
210661.4
374851.4
219959.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions183181150160170190200210220230210203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
+27Teleop
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
9Leave0
8Coral scored#9
38Coral points45
47Total auto45
TeleoperatedRed +25
24Coral scored#22
85Coral points80
3Processor algae#3
11Net algae#6
18Processor points18
44Net points24
62Algae points42
147Total teleop122
Reef
8L4#16
6L3#5
11L2#5
7L1 · trough#5
46Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
210Total score203

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1629
#13
63.10.9
61.462.3
Auto20.0
Teleop40.6
End2.5
red by 1.6
2106
#32
61.40.7
60.761.4
Auto17.8
Teleop36.5
End7.1
Second
888
#15
60.60.9
58.859.8
Auto17.5
Teleop40.5
End2.6
red by 1.3
2199
#26
59.30.7
58.559.3
Auto10.5
Teleop37.6
End11.2
Third
116
#12
50.30.9
48.549.5
Auto6.1
Teleop35.9
End8.3
blue by 1.1
51.40.7
50.651.4
Auto9.8
Teleop31.7
End9.9