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Red211
42292.2
44963.8
859046.2
Blue229
859270.6
190845.9
83659.1
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions210177150200250300211229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+8
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave0
8Coral scored#12
42Coral points58
45Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +5
32Coral scored#29
116Coral points105
1Processor algae#2
7Net algae#7
6Processor points12
28Net points28
34Algae points40
150Total teleop145
Reef
14L4#11
11L3#9
9L2#13
6L1 · trough#8
48Game pieces#50
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
211Total score229

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#1
92.20.2
91.591.7
Auto21.1
Teleop59.3
End11.7
red by 21.6
70.61.3
68.870.1
Auto14.9
Teleop47.7
End7.9
Second
449
#4
63.80.2
63.163.4
Auto12.8
Teleop47.0
End4.1
red by 4.7
836
#14
59.11.3
57.358.6
Auto13.6
Teleop39.3
End6.2
Third
8590
#47
46.20.2
45.545.8
Auto9.6
Teleop34.6
End2.0
red by 0.3
1908
#23
45.91.3
44.145.4
Auto9.9
Teleop29.3
End6.7