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Red163
172753.3
236350.0
907256.9
Blue196
162963.1
11650.3
88860.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17418250100150200250300350163196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+23
Teleop+21
Endgame+31
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +23
0Leave0
6Coral scored#11
31Coral points54
31Total auto54
TeleoperatedRed +2
19Coral scored#30
68Coral points108
4Processor algae#1
9Net algae#3
24Processor points6
36Net points12
60Algae points18
128Total teleop126
Reef
7L4#16
7L3#13
6L2#5
5L1 · trough#7
38Game pieces#45
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points2
163Total score196

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.90.1
56.856.9
Auto11.4
Teleop45.6
End-0.1
blue by 6.2
1629
#13
63.10.6
60.861.4
Auto20.0
Teleop40.6
End2.5
Second
53.30.1
53.253.3
Auto8.4
Teleop35.3
End9.6
blue by 7.3
888
#15
60.60.6
58.258.8
Auto17.5
Teleop40.5
End2.6
Third
2363
#21
50.00.1
49.950.0
Auto7.6
Teleop33.1
End9.2
blue by 0.3
116
#12
50.30.6
47.948.5
Auto6.1
Teleop35.9
End8.3