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Red82
111127.2
253436.9
859046.2
Blue143
68643.1
11650.3
54045.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114965015020082143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+55
Endgame+59
Fouls+61
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points19
12Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +48
12Coral scored#25
44Coral points90
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#2
12Processor points18
12Net points8
24Algae points26
68Total teleop116
Reef
4L4#8
4L3#10
3L2#8
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +61
0Foul points2
82Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8590
#47
46.21.8
36.534.7
Auto9.6
Teleop34.6
End2.0
blue by 4.1
116
#12
50.32.8
25.528.3
Auto6.1
Teleop35.9
End8.3
Second
2534
#39
36.91.8
39.938.0
Auto10.9
Teleop23.3
End2.7
blue by 8.7
540
#37
45.62.8
25.428.2
Auto5.8
Teleop38.0
End1.7
Third
1111
#36
27.21.8
24.422.6
Auto6.2
Teleop18.8
End2.3
blue by 15.8
686
#11
43.12.8
39.942.7
Auto10.3
Teleop27.1
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed