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Red123
482135.6
189537.5
907256.9
Blue110
12246.6
1022440.3
219959.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12812790100110120140150160170123110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+13Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
4Coral scored#2
19Coral points10
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +10
17Coral scored#17
62Coral points62
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#5
12Processor points6
24Net points20
36Algae points26
98Total teleop88
Reef
9L4#9
4L3#4
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
123Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.90.1
45.945.8
Auto11.4
Teleop45.6
End-0.1
blue by 2.4
2199
#26
59.31.4
50.949.5
Auto10.5
Teleop37.6
End11.2
Second
1895
#34
37.50.1
32.732.6
Auto7.0
Teleop26.4
End4.2
blue by 9.1
122
#8
46.61.4
37.335.9
Auto9.9
Teleop27.7
End9.0
Third
4821
#22
35.60.1
27.927.8
Auto7.8
Teleop22.3
End5.5
blue by 4.7
40.31.4
27.125.7
Auto9.3
Teleop25.8
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsMissed90%Barge oddsMissed