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Red119
88860.6
454142.7
463835.4
Blue117
210661.4
289020.8
680243.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1041236080140160180200119117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+14Teleop
Endgame+6
+2Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
5Coral scored#5
27Coral points27
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +14
14Coral scored#14
51Coral points49
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
6Processor points6
20Net points8
26Algae points14
77Total teleop63
Reef
7L4#5
6L3#7
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
8Foul points0
119Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
888
#15
60.61.0
46.046.9
Auto17.5
Teleop40.5
End2.6
blue by 0.9
2106
#32
61.40.6
51.251.7
Auto17.8
Teleop36.5
End7.1
Second
4541
#27
42.71.0
23.024.0
Auto11.0
Teleop29.4
End2.3
blue by 0.4
6802
#45
43.10.6
36.737.3
Auto10.6
Teleop26.2
End6.4
Third
4638
#42
35.41.0
27.428.4
Auto9.6
Teleop23.8
End2.0
red by 14.6
2890
#53
20.80.6
20.721.3
Auto4.9
Teleop13.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed85%Barge oddsEarned