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Qual 1022025 FIRST Chesapeake District Championship presented by Qualcomm
Red121
141839.1
253436.9
61136.6
Blue143
823027.5
907256.9
172753.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11815850100200121143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+14
Endgame+16
Fouls+22
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave9
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points14
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +21
13Coral scored#17
47Coral points60
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#7
12Processor points12
20Net points28
32Algae points40
79Total teleop100
Reef
6L4#5
5L3#8
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
26Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +2
12Cage & park14
12Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points6
121Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1418
#43
39.10.2
39.3→39.1
Auto11.6
Teleop18.8
End8.7
blue by 17.8
9072
#7
56.91.0
58.0→57.0
Auto11.4
Teleop45.6
End-0.1
Second
2534
#39
36.90.2
37.1→36.9
Auto10.9
Teleop23.3
End2.7
blue by 16.4
1727
#3
53.31.0
54.3→53.3
Auto8.4
Teleop35.3
End9.6
Third
611
#49
36.60.2
36.8→36.6
Auto9.3
Teleop27.5
End-0.1
red by 9.1
8230
#29
27.51.0
28.5→27.5
Auto4.4
Teleop15.4
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed59%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
62%Barge oddsMissed90%Barge oddsEarned