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Red119
12246.6
580456.8
632623.0
Blue106
621321.8
111127.2
62056.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13911150100150200119106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+1
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
7Coral scored#7
34Coral points34
37Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +4
9Coral scored#11
34Coral points38
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
12Processor points12
20Net points20
32Algae points32
66Total teleop70
Reef
4L4#4
6L3#8
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#25
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
119Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.80.5
57.056.5
Auto12.6
Teleop36.1
End8.1
red by 0.6
620
#19
56.10.1
56.256.2
Auto17.2
Teleop38.6
End0.3
Second
122
#8
46.60.5
46.245.7
Auto9.9
Teleop27.7
End9.0
red by 19.4
1111
#36
27.20.1
27.227.2
Auto6.2
Teleop18.8
End2.3
Third
6326
#52
23.00.5
23.523.0
Auto6.5
Teleop14.3
End2.2
red by 1.3
6213
#50
21.80.1
21.721.8
Auto6.0
Teleop12.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed